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The Iran War: The Long Shadow of the 1953 CIA-MI6 Coup War Did Not Begin in 2026

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Abbas Sadeghian, Ph.D.
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The Iran War: The Long Shadow of the 1953 CIA-MI6 Coup

War Did Not Begin in 2026

The Iran War did not begin on February 28, 2026. Wars rarely begin when the first aircraft crosses a border or the first missile is launched. They begin much earlier, in decisions that alter the political development of nations, in grievances that governments fail to resolve, in opportunities deliberately destroyed, and in memories transmitted from one generation to another. The present war has immediate causes and contemporary authors, and the leaders of Iran, Israel and the United States must be held responsible for their own decisions. But anyone attempting to understand how Iran and the United States arrived at this extraordinary moment must travel backward through the Iranian Revolution, the American hostage crisis, decades of clerical repression, repeated popular uprisings, and ultimately the Anglo-American overthrow of Mohammad Mossadegh in 1953. And even that story begins earlier-- with oil.

Oil was discovered commercially at Masjed Soleiman in southwestern Iran in 1908, following the concession granted to British entrepreneur William Knox D'Arcy. The discovery led to the creation of the Anglo-Persian Oil Company in 1909. In 1914, as petroleum became increasingly important to modern naval warfare, the British government acquired a controlling interest in the company. What had begun as a commercial concession thereby became intimately connected with the strategic interests of the British Empire. The company, renamed the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company after Persia formally adopted Iran as its international name, developed one of the world's great petroleum enterprises, centered on the enormous refinery at Abadan. Between 1912 and 1951, according to Encyclopaedia Iranica, the company exported approximately 338 million tons of Iranian oil. The relationship generated enormous profits and tax revenues for Britain while becoming, for generations of Iranian nationalists, a symbol of foreign exploitation and political humiliation.

The conflict therefore involved far more than the price of petroleum. It concerned sovereignty. Who controlled Iran's principal natural resource-- the Iranian people or a company closely tied to the British government? Mohammad Mossadegh emerged as the great political representative of the nationalist answer to that question. He was not a Soviet agent or a communist revolutionary. He was an aristocratic Iranian nationalist and constitutional politician who believed both in Iranian sovereignty and in limiting royal power through constitutional government. In 1951, the Iranian parliament nationalized the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company and created the National Iranian Oil Company. Encyclopaedia Iranica describes the objectives explicitly: Iranian ownership and control of the petroleum industry, removal of British political and economic influence, and the use of oil revenues for Iranian development.

Britain responded with intense economic and political pressure. The confrontation crippled Iranian oil exports and contributed to severe economic difficulties. London wanted Mossadegh removed, but President Harry Truman's administration was unwilling to support a British plan to overthrow him. That distinction is historically important because it demonstrates that the 1953 coup was not an inevitable American response to events in Iran. It was a policy choice made by a new administration.

Eisenhower, the Dulles Brothers and the Coup That Changed Iran

Dwight D. Eisenhower entered the White House in January 1953. Richard Nixon became vice president, John Foster Dulles became secretary of state, and John Foster's brother Allen Dulles became director of the CIA. These men represented the center of the new Republican national-security establishment, and they viewed international politics through the intensely anti-communist assumptions of the early Cold War. Iran shared a long border with the Soviet Union and possessed an active communist Tudeh Party. Britain, unable to persuade Truman to support regime change, found a much more receptive audience in Eisenhower's Washington. Encyclopaedia Iranica records that British intelligence sought American support for overthrowing Mossadegh, that the Truman administration would not agree, and that within weeks of Eisenhower's inauguration senior officials began planning a coup.

The CIA and Britain's MI6 subsequently cooperated in the operation, known on the American side as TPAJAX or Ajax. CIA officer Kermit Roosevelt Jr., a grandson of Theodore Roosevelt, became the principal American operative in Iran. Money, propaganda, political contacts, street organizers and sympathetic military officers became instruments in an operation whose purpose was straightforward: remove Mossadegh and replace his government with one considered more favorable to Western interests.

This history should not be simplified into a fairy tale in which a handful of foreign agents manipulated an otherwise unified country. Iran was politically divided. Mossadegh had powerful Iranian enemies among military officers, politicians, businessmen and clerics. His political coalition had deteriorated, the oil confrontation had damaged the economy, and some of his decisions had alienated former supporters. Iranian actors were indispensable to the coup. But Iranian participation does not erase Anglo-American intervention. The CIA and MI6 deliberately entered an internal Iranian political struggle with the intention of determining its outcome.

The first attempt to remove Mossadegh failed. Colonel Nematollah Nassiri attempted to deliver the Shah's decree dismissing the prime minister but was arrested. Mohammad Reza Shah fled Iran, first to Baghdad and then to Rome. For a moment, the coup appeared dead. Roosevelt and his Iranian allies persisted. On August 19, 1953, pro-Shah crowds appeared in Tehran, military units moved against Mossadegh, strategic facilities and the radio station were seized, and Mossadegh's residence was attacked. His government collapsed. General Fazlollah Zahedi became prime minister. Mossadegh was arrested and later confined. The Shah returned triumphantly.

There is no longer any need to speculate about whether Washington was involved. The most incriminating witness is President Eisenhower himself. In his private diary on October 8, 1953, Eisenhower wrote that the restoration of the Shah and elimination of Mossadegh was something "we helped bring about." He acknowledged that American actions had been covert and that disclosure would have embarrassed the United States. He then praised the CIA operative whose persistence helped reverse the initial failure of the coup. These are not accusations made decades later by Iranian propagandists; they are the words of the American president whose administration authorized the operation.

Washington had won. Mossadegh was gone, the Shah had returned, Soviet influence appeared contained, and a new oil arrangement eventually reopened Iranian petroleum to international markets. Viewed from the White House in 1953, the operation could easily be celebrated as a triumph of covert power. The problem was that history did not end when the CIA filed its report.

From the Shah to Khomeini: The Political Consequences of 1953

After 1953, Mohammad Reza Shah progressively concentrated on political authority. Iran simultaneously underwent genuine modernization. Universities expanded, literacy increased, industries and infrastructure developed, women obtained important new rights, land reform changed rural society, oil revenues increased dramatically, and a substantial professional middle class emerged. Any academically serious assessment of the Shah's period must acknowledge these achievements. Yet Iran developed an increasingly dangerous contradiction: economic and social modernization proceeded far faster than political modernization.

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Abbas Sadeghian, Ph.D. Social Media Pages: Facebook Page       Twitter page url on login Profile not filled in       Linkedin page url on login Profile not filled in       Instagram Page

I was born and raised in Tehran, Iran, and came to the United States in 1976 to study psychology. Over time, America became my home, and I later became a U.S. citizen. My professional career has centered on clinical neuropsychology, particularly (more...)
 
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Abbas Sadeghian, Ph.D.

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The Nationalization of Iranian Oil: When Iran Demanded Control of Its Own Wealth

The nationalization of Iranian oil in 1951 was far more than an economic dispute between Iran and a British corporation. It was the culmination of decades of resentment over foreign control of Iran's most valuable natural resource and became one of the defining anti-colonial struggles of the twentieth century.

Commercial oil was discovered at Masjed Soleiman in southwestern Iran in 1908 after a concession granted to British entrepreneur William Knox D'Arcy. The Anglo-Persian Oil Company was established the following year. Iranian petroleum soon became strategically important as Britain's Royal Navy converted from coal to oil. In 1914, the British government acquired a controlling interest in the company. Iranian oil had become not merely a commercial investment but a strategic asset of the British Empire. Winston Churchill, then First Lord of the Admiralty, strongly supported securing petroleum supplies for the Royal Navy.

The enormous Abadan refinery became one of the world's most important petroleum installations. The company, renamed the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company in 1935, developed an immense presence inside Iran. Yet Iranians had little control over the production, accounting, marketing, or international sale of their petroleum. Britain benefited enormously while many Iranians believed their country received an unfair share. The fundamental issue was not simply money but sovereignty: a foreign power exercised extraordinary influence over the principal natural resource of an independent country.

After World War II, this arrangement became increasingly difficult to defend. Colonial empires were weakening and nationalist movements were spreading throughout Asia and the Middle East. The contrast became especially striking after Saudi Arabia obtained a 50-50 profit-sharing agreement with the American-owned Aramco in 1950. Iranian politicians naturally asked why Iran should accept less favorable conditions.

Mohammad Mossadegh transformed this resentment into a national political movement. He was neither a communist nor a Soviet puppet, but an Iranian nationalist and constitutionalist who opposed foreign interference and excessive royal authority. Above all, he argued that Iran could not meaningfully call itself independent while foreigners controlled its principal source of national wealth.

In March 1951, parliament voted to nationalize the oil industry. When Mossadegh became prime minister the following month, implementing nationalization became his government's central mission. For millions of Iranians, this was not hostility toward Britain but the assertion of a basic principle: Iranian oil beneath Iranian soil should belong to Iran.

Britain regarded nationalization as a major economic and strategic threat. London organized an international boycott of Iranian oil, withdrew British personnel from Abadan, froze Iranian assets, and attempted to prevent Iran from selling petroleum abroad. Mossadegh traveled internationally to defend Iran's position. In 1952, the International Court of Justice concluded that it lacked jurisdiction over Britain's complaint, giving Mossadegh an important political victory.

Britain nevertheless possessed the commercial networks, tankers, technical resources, and international influence necessary to make selling Iranian oil extremely difficult. Exports collapsed, government revenues declined, and economic hardship intensified Iran's political divisions. What appeared to be a dispute over compensation had become a struggle over whether a weaker nation could exercise sovereignty when doing so threatened the interests of a great power.

President Harry Truman's administration attempted mediation. Washington feared instability might strengthen Iran's communist Tudeh Party, but Truman resisted British proposals to overthrow Mossadegh. American participation in regime change was therefore not inevitable. The situation changed after Dwight D. Eisenhower entered the White House in January 1953.

Britain had already concluded that Mossadegh had to be removed. Eisenhower's administration, with John Foster Dulles as secretary of state and Allen Dulles directing the CIA, became more receptive to British arguments that instability could benefit the Soviet Union. A confrontation originating in oil, sovereignty, and British imperial interests was increasingly reframed as a Cold War security crisis. Britain's MI6 and America's CIA cooperated in the operation that culminated in Mossadegh's overthrow on August 19, 1953.

Cold War concerns were genuine. Iran bordered the Soviet Union, and the Tudeh Party was a real political force. But these facts should not obscure the origins of the confrontation. Iran had attempted to gain control of its petroleum, while Britain was determined to protect its strategic and economic position. Oil was not incidental to the crisis; it was at its heart.

After Mossadegh's overthrow, Iranian petroleum returned to international markets under a new consortium in which British dominance was reduced and American oil companies gained substantial participation. But the political consequences reached far beyond petroleum. For generations of Iranians, 1953 became evidence that when an Iranian government challenged powerful Western interests, Britain and the United States were prepared to intervene in Iran's political affairs.

That memory survived Mossadegh and eventually the Shah himself. It became one of the grievances invoked during the Revolution of 1979. The nationalization crisis was therefore more than a dispute over oil revenues. It was a confrontation over colonial power, constitutional government, national sovereignty, and the right of a people to control the wealth beneath their own soil. The road to the 1953 MI6-CIA coup began in the oil fields of southwestern Iran-- and its consequences would reach far beyond them.

Submitted on Tuesday, Aug 18, 2026 at 8:08:22 AM

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To add to the complexity, there is now a good probability that the actions of the U.S. to Iran will, and already are, determine the future presence of America in the Gulf. Already, Gulf states are very reluctant to (re)allow the U.S. to rebuild its bases that have been bombed and essentially destroyed. They are demonstrated targets of easily launched Iranian missiles and drones. The U.S. can no more keep its vulnerable personnel and equipment in the region, than the Gulf states can allow it.

Is this Trump playing 5-dimensional chess? Did he only appear to be incoherent and to ultimately lose a major war so that, finally, his wish to have other countries, former allies or not (or who were but aren't anymore) would assume the burden of self-defense? Trump's Truth Social post a couple of days ago vigorously congratulating Saudi Arabia, Turkey (an erstwhile NATO member), Pakistan (the lead intermediary in the Iran-America on/off-negotiations) for forming a mutual defense pact - which is probably less than it seems - may indicate such underlying strategy. But more likely it's just Trump being Trump, ricocheting from one failure to another to try to salvage a Win from a series of Losses.

However, it's worth considering the likely result on its own merits, regardless of the intent of those who made it possible. An independent Gulf state alliance, focused on the Iranian threat - to which must be added the history of the defeat of Iraq's Saddam Hussein, which enabled the unchallenged rise of Iran - may be just the thing to finally reduce the chronic violence and oppression of the region's powers, though it will certainly not happen quickly. Either the Gulf states learn to somehow get along, or they may simply ensure mutual destruction. It's clear that the oil and shipping infrastructure is exceptionally delicate and barely defended, despite decades of America's intimidating presence. It would be an exaggeration to say America is a paper tiger, but its not an effective defender either, and it looks like in the age of drones and guided missiles it is a net liability.

It will be interesting to see how the Middle East handles things more-or-less on their own in the future, with American involvement even on Israel's behalf not guaranteed either, given how the democratic party, and even Republican MAGAs have turned against Israel. Even Netanyahu has pledged to make Israel self-sufficient in defending itself within a decade, though whether Israel can survive a 7-front war that long remains an open question.

The Iranian blockade, and America's blockade of the Iranian blockade, may be the ultimate game of attrition. Will sanctioned and besieged Iran outlast the provision-challenged American aircraft carriers and support ships, now cut off from resupply by the forced abandonment of American bases? Will Iran expand the war as its promised to do? Former congresswoman, Marjorie Taylor Green has recently said Trump will use nuclear weapons. She's not the most credible source, but she's not the only one either. If that happens, Putin - who is losing to Ukraine or at least not winning - will feel emboldened to do the same to Ukraine. Europe will have to respond (maybe they already are by yesterdays' encirclement of the separated province of Kaliningrad). After that, the end of the hostilities may be the end of everything...

Submitted on Wednesday, Aug 19, 2026 at 4:01:32 AM

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Abbas Sadeghian, Ph.D.

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Scott, I agree with much of what you are saying, particularly your larger point that this war may fundamentally change America's military presence in the Persian Gulf and force the countries of the region to develop a different security arrangement.

There is one additional dimension that I think is important. From what I have been hearing from Iranian officials and people familiar with the thinking inside Iran, Tehran does not appear to be as internally divided or close to political collapse as Trump has repeatedly suggested. Their immediate strategy seems to be endurance: preserve the cohesion of Iranian society, maintain enough military capability to continue imposing costs, and wait for American domestic politics to change.

In particular, they appear to be watching the November midterm elections very closely. Their calculation seems to be that the war's growing unpopularity, combined with the military and economic costs the United States has sustained across the Middle East, could substantially weaken Trump's political position. Whether that ultimately leads to impeachment is impossible to predict, and conviction would of course be an entirely different matter. But a major loss of congressional support could significantly restrict his ability to continue the war indefinitely.

From that perspective, Iran does not have to defeat the United States in the conventional military sense. It has to remain standing, preserve its ability to retaliate, and demonstrate that the United States and Israel cannot impose a regional order on Iran by force. If Iran succeeds in doing that, the geopolitical consequences could be enormous.

That also connects with your point about the Gulf states. Iran's objective, as I understand it, is not to dominate every country around it. It is to end a regional system in which Iran believes it has been subjected to outside intervention and Western imperial influence for roughly two centuries. If American military dominance in the Gulf diminishes, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the other regional states will eventually have to deal directly with Iran rather than trying to isolate it. They do not have to become Iranian allies; they simply have to recognize Iran as a major regional power whose interests cannot be ignored.

The Iranian assessment of Israel is similar. They certainly recognize the enormous damage Israel inflicted, especially during the opening phase of the war. But their conclusion seems to be that Israel took its best shot, inflicted tremendous losses, and still failed to destroy Iran's ability or willingness to continue fighting. In that sense, they believe they absorbed the blow and survived.

So, I think you and I are looking at much of the same emerging picture from slightly different directions. You emphasize the unintended consequences of America's difficulties in this war. I think Iran is increasingly trying to turn those difficulties into a deliberate strategy of political and military endurance. If Tehran can hold together long enough for American domestic politics to change, the result may be a very different balance of power in the Persian Gulf-- and perhaps a regional system in which the countries themselves eventually have little choice but to learn how to deal with one another.

Submitted on Wednesday, Aug 19, 2026 at 4:29:36 AM

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